Arizona State: 2026 Week 3 recap

Arizona State sits at 51st in the latest GIE ratings with a 1–0 record, though the model hasn't budged since last week—a signal that the Morgan State blowout (70–7) didn't meaningfully shift expectations. That stagnation makes sense: FCS opponents rarely move the needle. The real test arrives this week when ASU travels to College Station to face Texas A&M. Red-zone efficiency tells part of the story so far—a TD rate of 15% suggests the Sun Devils aren't consistently converting scoring chances into points when it matters. GIE projects around 6.5 wins for the season and assigns less than 1% odds to a playoff berth, so the margin for error is slim. How ASU performs against Big 12 competition starting Saturday will quickly clarify whether those preseason expectations hold.