Arizona State: 2026 Week 12 recap

Arizona State sits at No. 65 after a modest 20–10 win over Colorado in Week 10, but the rating drop of 0.4 points tells the real story: the Sun Devils aren't moving in the right direction. At 5–4, they're projected for roughly 6.1 wins on the season, and playoff hopes have evaporated entirely. The underlying numbers reveal why—a red-zone TD rate of just 15% and third-down conversion rate of 32% suggest an offense that stalls when it matters most. Late-game leverage performance of 4.37 offers a sliver of hope in close spots, but inconsistency on third down remains the anchor. Next up is a road trip to UCF in Week 11, a matchup Arizona State cannot afford to drop if bowl eligibility is the floor.