2026 Week 3 FINAL
Marshall at Missouri State
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 10:30 PM UTC
Plaster Sports Complex
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marshall | 14 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 30 |
| Missouri State | 10 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 24 |
GIE pre-game call: Marshall at 59%. Hit.
Recaps
- Missouri State recap
Missouri State: 2026 Week 3 recap
Missouri State sits at 0–1 after being shutout 50–0 by Texas A&M in Week 1, holding a rating of −19.1 and ranking 126th nationally. That result hasn't budged the model's assessment, which pegged the Bears as a long shot from the jump. The…
- Marshall recap
Marshall: 2026 Week 3 recap
Marshall sits at 0–1 and rated 98th nationally after a shutout loss to Penn State in Week 1. The Thundering Herd haven't moved in GIE's estimation—the rating remains flat—which suggests the model saw the outcome as predictable rather than…
- Record
- 3-1
- Rating
- -11.0
- National rank
- 110
- Proj. wins
- 7.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
- Record
- 1-3
- Rating
- -17.4
- National rank
- 124
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Marshall is the model's favorite at 59%. Missouri State has a 41% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.4 rating points baked in for Missouri State — venue-specific learned value (n=5 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 10:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Plaster Sports Complex
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No