New Mexico State at Florida State
Saturday, August 29, 2026 · 7:00 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 New Mexico State | 0 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 17 |
 Florida State Winner | 3 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 34 |
GIE pre-game call: Florida State at 96%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
New Mexico State 4% Underdog
Florida State 96% Favorite
Florida State is the model's favorite at 96%. New Mexico State has a 4% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.1 rating points baked in for Florida State — venue-specific night-game value (n=54 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
- New Mexico State recap New Mexico State: 2026 Week 12 recap New Mexico State sits at 126th overall with a 3-6 record and a rating of -16.1, having slipped 2.7 points after a 30-14 loss to Liberty in Week 10. The Aggies' offensive inefficiency tells the story: a red-zone touchdown rate of just 13%…
- Florida State recap Florida State: 2026 Week 12 recap Florida State sits at 4–5 after a road win at Boston College that did little to move the needle: GIE dipped the Seminoles from 5.8 to 5.5, leaving them ranked 49th. The victory itself was real—31 points away from home—but the model's…