2026 Week 1 FINAL
New Mexico State at Florida State
Saturday, August 29, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
Doak Campbell Stadium
17
New Mexico State
Final
34
Florida State
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico State | 0 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 17 |
| Florida State | 3 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 34 |
GIE pre-game call: Florida State at 95%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
New Mexico State
Conference USA
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -15.7
- National rank
- 119
- Proj. wins
- 4.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Florida State
ACC
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- 5.5
- National rank
- 53
- Proj. wins
- 4.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
New Mexico State
5%
Florida State
95%
Florida State 90% CI: 93% – 97% Δ rating 21.2
Florida State is the model's favorite at 95%. New Mexico State has a 5% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.6 rating points baked in for Florida State — venue-specific learned value (n=55 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, August 29, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Doak Campbell Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No