Florida State: 2026 Week 12 recap

Florida State sits at 4–5 after a road win at Boston College that did little to move the needle: GIE dipped the Seminoles from 5.8 to 5.5, leaving them ranked 49th. The victory itself was real—31 points away from home—but the model's slight downgrade reflects broader season struggles. Red-zone efficiency at 20% explains much of the stall; FSU generates chances but leaves points on the field. Conference playoff odds remain at zero, and expected wins sit at 5.6, suggesting this roster has largely played to its ceiling. Pittsburgh awaits in Week 11, another road test that won't move the needle much either way unless FSU's execution in critical moments suddenly sharpens.