2026 Week 3 FINAL
North Dakota State at Sacramento State
Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 2:30 AM UTC
Hornet Stadium
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Dakota State | 21 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 31 |
| Sacramento State | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 |
GIE pre-game call: North Dakota State at 97%. Hit.
Recaps
- Sacramento State recap
Sacramento State: 2026 Week 3 recap
Sacramento State sits at 1–1 after a dominant Week 1 shutout of Mississippi Valley State, but the Hornets haven't budged in GIE's ratings—holding steady at –23.4 and ranked 131st. That stagnation masks an uncomfortable truth: the blowout…
- North Dakota State recap
North Dakota State: 2026 Week 3 recap
North Dakota State remains undefeated at 2–0 after dismantling Jacksonville State 33–7 in Week 1, but GIE isn't convinced yet—the Bison sit at rank 75 with a rating of –1.8, unchanged from last week. That red-zone TD rate of 18% is the…
- Record
- 4-0
- Rating
- 10.6
- National rank
- 35
- Proj. wins
- 10.2
- Playoff prob.
- 58%
- Record
- 1-3
- Rating
- -20.9
- National rank
- 133
- Proj. wins
- 4.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
North Dakota State is the model's favorite at 97%. Sacramento State has a 3% path. League-prior home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for Sacramento State.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 2:30 AM UTC
- Venue
- Hornet Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No