2026 Week 1
Hawai'i at Stanford
Friday, August 28, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Stanford Stadium
Hawai'i
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 1.7
- National rank
- 68
- Proj. wins
- 8.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Stanford
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -11.8
- National rank
- 112
- Proj. wins
- 2.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Hawai'i
77%
Stanford
23%
Stanford 90% CI: 17% – 30% Δ rating 13.5
Hawai'i is the model's favorite at 77%. Stanford has a 23% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.9 rating points baked in for Stanford — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Hawai'i offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Stanford offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, August 28, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Stanford Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No