2026 Week 1
Missouri State at Texas A&M
Friday, September 4, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Kyle Field
Missouri State
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -10.7
- National rank
- 108
- Proj. wins
- 0.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Texas A&M
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 20.7
- National rank
- 9
- Proj. wins
- 8.5
- Playoff prob.
- 55%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Missouri State
2%
Texas A&M
98%
Texas A&M 90% CI: 98% – 99% Δ rating 31.4
Texas A&M is the model's favorite at 98%. Missouri State has a 2% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.6 rating points baked in for Texas A&M — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Missouri State offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Texas A&M offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 4, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Kyle Field
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No