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2025 Week 1 FINAL · Neutral site

Navy at Cincinnati

Friday, January 2, 2026 · 3:30 PM CST

Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium

35
Navy
Final
13
Cincinnati
Team 1234 T
Navy 77714 35
Cincinnati 0706 13

GIE pre-game call: Navy at 55%. Hit.

Recaps

Navy
American Athletic
Record
11-2
Rating
6.2
National rank
46
Proj. wins
7.6
Playoff prob.
1%
Cincinnati
Big 12
Record
7-6
Rating
4.5
National rank
56
Proj. wins
5.8
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Navy
55%
Cincinnati
45%
Cincinnati 90% CI: 36% – 54% Δ rating 1.7

Navy is the model's favorite at 55%. Cincinnati has a 45% path. No home-field adjustment applied (neutral site).

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, January 2, 2026 · 3:30 PM CST
Venue
Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
Yes

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