Oregon: 2026 Week 11 recap

Oregon sits at 5–3 after a 34–26 home win over Northwestern in Week 9, holding a GIE rating of 17 and ranked 12th. The Ducks haven't shifted in the model's assessment week-over-week, suggesting the victory merely confirmed what was already known about this squad. The red-zone conversion rate of 19% points to a persistent problem: Oregon scores touchdowns on only one-fifth of its trips inside the 20, which compounds in tight games. Next up is a road trip to Ohio State, a matchup that looms as the kind of test that could alter their trajectory. With a playoff probability of zero and no path to the Big Ten title, every remaining game becomes a statement about ceiling.