Ohio sits at 9–4 after a 31–26 road win at Buffalo in Week 14, holding a rating of –4 and ranking 84th according to GIE. The Bobcats' victory over a bowl-eligible opponent gives them a legitimate claim to tournament consideration, though their rating suggests they remain on the bubble. With the regular season winding down, Ohio's path forward depends on finishing strong—every remaining game carries weight in the committee's evaluation. The model has them in that murky middle tier where resume quality and late-season momentum will likely determine their postseason fate.