LSU: 2026 Week 12 recap

LSU sits at No. 7 overall with a 6–3 record, but last week's 31–13 home loss to Alabama knocked the Tigers down 2.3 rating points. The damage runs deeper than the scoreline: a red-zone TD rate of just 10.5% and third-down conversion rate near 32% exposed fundamental offensive constraints. GIE's playoff probability has essentially evaporated at under 1%, and with expected wins hovering around 7.5, the ceiling for this team is a strong bowl game. Next up is Texas at home—a winnable matchup that could stabilize the rating before the regular-season gauntlet closes.