Louisiana Tech sits at 2–2 after a 31–29 home win over Army in Week 5, a result that moved the needle hardly at all according to GIE—the rating holds steady at –9.8, ranking 108th nationally. The narrow victory masks some underlying concerns: a red-zone TD rate of just 14% suggests the Bulldogs are leaving points on the field when it matters most, and third-down conversion efficiency of 38% keeps drives from sustaining. The model projects 6.5 expected wins for the season, so Louisiana Tech needs to string together performances that meaningfully improve efficiency in the red zone and on third down. Next up is a home game against Louisiana in Week 6, a Sun Belt matchup that could reset the trajectory depending on execution.