Indiana: 2026 Week 11 recap

Indiana sits at No. 6 overall with an 8–1 record and a GIE rating of 24.2, holding steady after last week's 23–16 home win over Minnesota. The Hoosiers have built real equity—a 91% playoff probability reflects their consistency—but there's a warning embedded in the efficiency numbers: a 17.5% red-zone touchdown rate suggests they're leaving points on the field when it matters most. With an expected win total near 10.2, Indiana has some margin for error down the stretch, and a 40% conference championship probability keeps title dreams alive. This week brings USC to Bloomington in a prime opportunity to pad the résumé before the final stretch.