Florida: 2026 Week 12 recap

Florida's rating has cratered 4.7 points to 5.9 this season, dropping them to 47th overall, and last week's 23-7 home loss to Oklahoma explains why. The Gators are stuck at 5-4 with a red-zone TD rate of just 18%, which means they're leaving points on the field in the moments that matter most. A third-down conversion rate of 34% compounds the problem—they're not sustaining drives, period. GIE has them at zero percent to make the playoff or win the conference, and their expected-win total sits at 6.3, suggesting further attrition is likely. Kentucky awaits on the road this weekend in a game that won't move the needle much either way, but Florida's offensive execution needs to tighten dramatically or the season slides further.