BYU: 2026 Week 12 recap

BYU sits at 17th overall with a 7–2 record, though the rating dipped half a point following last week's 28–20 loss at Utah—a result that underscored some hard truths about the offense's efficiency. The Cougars are converting just 39% of third downs and scoring on only 16% of red-zone trips, which explains why close games slip away. GIE projects 9.1 expected wins for the season, a sign the model still believes in the program's underlying capability despite the recent stumble. BYU hosts Baylor this week in a Big 12 matchup where offensive execution will determine whether the rating stabilizes or continues to drift downward.