Army: 2026 Week 11 recap

Army sits at 5–3 after a 49–22 loss at Memphis in Week 9, a result that underscored ongoing offensive struggles. The Black Knights' rating hasn't budged week-to-week, holding steady at 66th overall. GIE projects 7.7 expected wins for the season, though the playoff window has effectively closed—the model assigns near-zero probability to both a postseason berth and a conference title. Red-zone efficiency remains the core problem: a 14.5% touchdown rate in scoring position means Army is leaving points on the field consistently. This week Army hosts Air Force in a rivalry matchup where execution in critical moments will matter more than usual; late-game leverage performance sits at 5.2, suggesting close-game competitiveness when the margins tighten.