Recap Arkansas State
Arkansas State: 2026 Week 3 recap
At a glance as of
- Record
- 0–1
- GIE rank
- #105of 138 rated
- Rating
- −11.6 FBS avg −0.1
- Projected wins
- 5.1
Arkansas State sits at 0–1 after falling to Memphis 42–24 in Week 1, and GIE's rating has held flat at −11.6, placing the Red Wolves at 105th nationally. The blowout loss exposed depth issues: a red-zone TD rate of just 12% and third-down conversions at 38% suggest the offense struggled to sustain drives when it mattered most. The model projects 5.1 wins for the season and essentially zero playoff probability. This week brings West Georgia at home—a chance to reset before the Sun Belt gauntlet tightens. How Arkansas State responds to the Memphis tape will shape whether that 5-win projection holds or slides further.