2026 Week 13 · Conference game
Southern Miss at Old Dominion
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
S.B. Ballard Stadium
Southern Miss
Sun Belt
- Record
- 1-3
- Rating
- -19.1
- National rank
- 127
- Proj. wins
- 4.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Old Dominion
Sun Belt
- Record
- 1-3
- Rating
- -7.0
- National rank
- 97
- Proj. wins
- 4.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Southern Miss
12%
Old Dominion
88%
Old Dominion 90% CI: 83% – 91% Δ rating 12.1
Old Dominion is the model's favorite at 88%. Southern Miss has a 12% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.7 rating points baked in for Old Dominion — venue-specific learned value (n=47 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Southern Miss offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Old Dominion offense
36 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- S.B. Ballard Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No