2026 Week 12 · Conference game
South Alabama at Southern Miss
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
M. M. Roberts Stadium
South Alabama
Sun Belt
- Record
- 2-2
- Rating
- -12.1
- National rank
- 111
- Proj. wins
- 6.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Southern Miss
Sun Belt
- Record
- 1-3
- Rating
- -19.1
- National rank
- 127
- Proj. wins
- 4.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
South Alabama
71%
Southern Miss
29%
Southern Miss 90% CI: 22% – 37% Δ rating 7.0
South Alabama is the model's favorite at 71%. Southern Miss has a 29% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.1 rating points baked in for Southern Miss — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
South Alabama offense
35 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Southern Miss offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- M. M. Roberts Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No