2026 Week 11 · Conference game
Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Joe Aillet Stadium
Southern Miss
Sun Belt
- Record
- 1-3
- Rating
- -19.1
- National rank
- 127
- Proj. wins
- 4.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Louisiana Tech
Sun Belt
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -8.2
- National rank
- 104
- Proj. wins
- 5.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Southern Miss
14%
Louisiana Tech
86%
Louisiana Tech 90% CI: 80% – 90% Δ rating 10.9
Louisiana Tech is the model's favorite at 86%. Southern Miss has a 14% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.4 rating points baked in for Louisiana Tech — venue-specific learned value (n=46 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Southern Miss offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Louisiana Tech offense
35 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Joe Aillet Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No