4thand4cast

Search the site.

Try , , or .

Powered by Pagefind

2026 Week 9 · Conference game

Louisiana Tech at South Alabama

Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC

Hancock Whitney Stadium

Louisiana Tech
Sun Belt
Record
1-2
Rating
-8.2
National rank
104
Proj. wins
5.7
Playoff prob.
0%
South Alabama
Sun Belt
Record
2-2
Rating
-12.1
National rank
111
Proj. wins
6.0
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Louisiana Tech
63%
South Alabama
37%
South Alabama 90% CI: 29% – 46% Δ rating 3.9

Louisiana Tech is the model's favorite at 63%. South Alabama has a 37% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.3 rating points baked in for South Alabama — venue-specific learned value (n=33 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Louisiana Tech offense
35 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

South Alabama offense
33 / 100

Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Venue
Hancock Whitney Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
Share

← Home