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2026 Week 9

Louisiana Tech at South Alabama

Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC

Hancock Whitney Stadium

Louisiana Tech
Conference USA
Record
0-0
Rating
-1.3
National rank
77
Proj. wins
1.1
Playoff prob.
0%
South Alabama
Sun Belt
Record
0-0
Rating
-12.7
National rank
114
Proj. wins
1.1
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Louisiana Tech
81%
South Alabama
19%
South Alabama 90% CI: 14% – 25% Δ rating 11.4

Louisiana Tech is the model's favorite at 81%. South Alabama has a 19% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.3 rating points baked in for South Alabama — venue-specific learned value (n=33 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Louisiana Tech offense
35 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

South Alabama offense
33 / 100

Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Venue
Hancock Whitney Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No

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