2026 Week 9 · Conference game
Marshall at Old Dominion
Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
S.B. Ballard Stadium
Marshall
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -4.5
- National rank
- 86
- Proj. wins
- 0.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Old Dominion
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 5.9
- National rank
- 49
- Proj. wins
- 2.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Marshall
15%
Old Dominion
85%
Old Dominion 90% CI: 80% – 89% Δ rating 10.4
Old Dominion is the model's favorite at 85%. Marshall has a 15% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.7 rating points baked in for Old Dominion — venue-specific learned value (n=47 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Marshall offense
29 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Old Dominion offense
39 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- S.B. Ballard Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No