2026 Week 8 · Conference game
South Alabama at Marshall
Tuesday, October 20, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Joan C. Edwards Stadium
South Alabama
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -12.7
- National rank
- 114
- Proj. wins
- 1.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Marshall
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -4.5
- National rank
- 86
- Proj. wins
- 0.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
South Alabama
26%
Marshall
74%
Marshall 90% CI: 66% – 80% Δ rating 8.2
Marshall is the model's favorite at 74%. South Alabama has a 26% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.0 rating points baked in for Marshall — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
South Alabama offense
38 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Marshall offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Tuesday, October 20, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Joan C. Edwards Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No