2026 Week 13 · Conference game
New Mexico State at Middle Tennessee
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
New Mexico State
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -15.5
- National rank
- 123
- Proj. wins
- 0.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Middle Tennessee
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -16.0
- National rank
- 127
- Proj. wins
- 1.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
New Mexico State
44%
Middle Tennessee
56%
Middle Tennessee 90% CI: 47% – 65% Δ rating 0.5
Middle Tennessee is the model's favorite at 56%. New Mexico State has a 44% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for Middle Tennessee — venue-specific learned value (n=46 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
New Mexico State offense
45 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Middle Tennessee offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No