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2026 Week 13 · Conference game

Sam Houston at Florida International

Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC

Pitbull Stadium

Sam Houston
Conference USA
Record
0-0
Rating
-27.8
National rank
135
Proj. wins
0.3
Playoff prob.
0%
Florida International
Conference USA
Record
0-0
Rating
-10.5
National rank
107
Proj. wins
1.5
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Sam Houston
9%
Florida International
91%
Florida International 90% CI: 87% – 93% Δ rating 17.3

Florida International is the model's favorite at 91%. Sam Houston has a 9% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.0 rating points baked in for Florida International — venue-specific learned value (n=5 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Sam Houston offense
43 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Florida International offense
44 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Venue
Pitbull Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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