2026 Week 13 · Conference game
Sam Houston at Florida International
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC
Pitbull Stadium
Sam Houston
Conference USA
- Record
- 1-3
- Rating
- -16.3
- National rank
- 121
- Proj. wins
- 4.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Florida International
Conference USA
- Record
- 2-2
- Rating
- -12.3
- National rank
- 112
- Proj. wins
- 6.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Sam Houston
35%
Florida International
65%
Florida International 90% CI: 56% – 73% Δ rating 4.0
Florida International is the model's favorite at 65%. Sam Houston has a 35% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.0 rating points baked in for Florida International — venue-specific learned value (n=5 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Sam Houston offense
43 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Florida International offense
44 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Pitbull Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No