2026 Week 12 · Conference game
Missouri State at Jacksonville State
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC
AmFirst Stadium
Missouri State
Conference USA
- Record
- 1-3
- Rating
- -17.4
- National rank
- 124
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Jacksonville State
Conference USA
- Record
- 3-2
- Rating
- -3.2
- National rank
- 83
- Proj. wins
- 7.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Missouri State
9%
Jacksonville State
91%
Jacksonville State 90% CI: 88% – 94% Δ rating 14.2
Jacksonville State is the model's favorite at 91%. Missouri State has a 9% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.4 rating points baked in for Jacksonville State — venue-specific learned value (n=17 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Missouri State offense
41 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Jacksonville State offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- AmFirst Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No