2026 Week 12 · Conference game
Missouri State at Jacksonville State
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
AmFirst Stadium
Missouri State
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -10.7
- National rank
- 108
- Proj. wins
- 0.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Jacksonville State
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -6.7
- National rank
- 92
- Proj. wins
- 1.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Missouri State
26%
Jacksonville State
74%
Jacksonville State 90% CI: 66% – 81% Δ rating 4.0
Jacksonville State is the model's favorite at 74%. Missouri State has a 26% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.4 rating points baked in for Jacksonville State — venue-specific learned value (n=17 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Missouri State offense
41 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Jacksonville State offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- AmFirst Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No