4thand4cast

Search the site.

Try , , or .

Powered by Pagefind

2026 Week 12 · Conference game

Delaware at New Mexico State

Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC

Aggie Memorial Stadium

Delaware
Conference USA
Record
0-0
Rating
-10.9
National rank
109
Proj. wins
0.6
Playoff prob.
0%
New Mexico State
Conference USA
Record
0-0
Rating
-15.5
National rank
123
Proj. wins
0.6
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Delaware
57%
New Mexico State
43%
New Mexico State 90% CI: 34% – 53% Δ rating 4.6

Delaware is the model's favorite at 57%. New Mexico State has a 43% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for New Mexico State — venue-specific learned value (n=41 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Delaware offense
40 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

New Mexico State offense
42 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Venue
Aggie Memorial Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

← Home