2026 Week 10 · Conference game
Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 8:30 PM UTC
Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
Western Kentucky
Conference USA
- Record
- 1-3
- Rating
- -16.5
- National rank
- 122
- Proj. wins
- 4.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Middle Tennessee
Conference USA
- Record
- 2-2
- Rating
- -18.9
- National rank
- 125
- Proj. wins
- 6.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Western Kentucky
50%
Middle Tennessee
50%
Middle Tennessee 90% CI: 41% – 59% Δ rating 2.4
Middle Tennessee is the model's favorite at 50%. Western Kentucky has a 50% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for Middle Tennessee — venue-specific learned value (n=46 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Western Kentucky offense
44 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Middle Tennessee offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 8:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No