2026 Week 10 · Conference game
Sam Houston at Jacksonville State
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
AmFirst Stadium
Sam Houston
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -27.8
- National rank
- 135
- Proj. wins
- 0.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Jacksonville State
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -6.7
- National rank
- 92
- Proj. wins
- 1.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Sam Houston
4%
Jacksonville State
96%
Jacksonville State 90% CI: 94% – 97% Δ rating 21.1
Jacksonville State is the model's favorite at 96%. Sam Houston has a 4% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.4 rating points baked in for Jacksonville State — venue-specific learned value (n=17 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Sam Houston offense
41 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Jacksonville State offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- AmFirst Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No