2026 Week 13 · Conference game
Liberty at Missouri State
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC
Plaster Sports Complex
Liberty
Conference USA
- Record
- 3-1
- Rating
- -3.0
- National rank
- 82
- Proj. wins
- 8.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Missouri State
Conference USA
- Record
- 1-3
- Rating
- -17.4
- National rank
- 124
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Liberty
80%
Missouri State
20%
Missouri State 90% CI: 15% – 27% Δ rating 14.4
Liberty is the model's favorite at 80%. Missouri State has a 20% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.4 rating points baked in for Missouri State — venue-specific learned value (n=5 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Liberty offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Missouri State offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Plaster Sports Complex
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No