2026 Week 9 · Conference game
Florida International at Liberty
Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
Williams Stadium (VA)
Florida International
Conference USA
- Record
- 2-2
- Rating
- -12.3
- National rank
- 112
- Proj. wins
- 6.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Liberty
Conference USA
- Record
- 3-1
- Rating
- -3.0
- National rank
- 82
- Proj. wins
- 8.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Florida International
22%
Liberty
78%
Liberty 90% CI: 71% – 84% Δ rating 9.3
Liberty is the model's favorite at 78%. Florida International has a 22% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.9 rating points baked in for Liberty — venue-specific learned value (n=40 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Florida International offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Liberty offense
41 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Williams Stadium (VA)
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No