2026 Week 9 · Conference game
Kennesaw State at Middle Tennessee
Wednesday, October 28, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
Kennesaw State
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -5.4
- National rank
- 89
- Proj. wins
- 6.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Middle Tennessee
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -16.0
- National rank
- 127
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Kennesaw State
77%
Middle Tennessee
23%
Middle Tennessee 90% CI: 17% – 31% Δ rating 10.6
Kennesaw State is the model's favorite at 77%. Middle Tennessee has a 23% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.2 rating points baked in for Middle Tennessee — venue-specific night-game value (n=46 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Kennesaw State offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Middle Tennessee offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Wednesday, October 28, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No