2026 Week 9 · Conference game
Jacksonville State at New Mexico State
Thursday, October 29, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Aggie Memorial Stadium
Jacksonville State
Conference USA
- Record
- 3-2
- Rating
- -3.2
- National rank
- 83
- Proj. wins
- 7.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
New Mexico State
Conference USA
- Record
- 1-3
- Rating
- -15.7
- National rank
- 119
- Proj. wins
- 3.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Jacksonville State
78%
New Mexico State
22%
New Mexico State 90% CI: 16% – 29% Δ rating 12.5
Jacksonville State is the model's favorite at 78%. New Mexico State has a 22% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for New Mexico State — venue-specific learned value (n=41 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Jacksonville State offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
New Mexico State offense
43 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Thursday, October 29, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Aggie Memorial Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No