2026 Week 8 · Conference game
Middle Tennessee at Florida International
Tuesday, October 20, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Pitbull Stadium
Middle Tennessee
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -16.0
- National rank
- 127
- Proj. wins
- 1.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Florida International
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -10.5
- National rank
- 107
- Proj. wins
- 1.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Middle Tennessee
31%
Florida International
69%
Florida International 90% CI: 61% – 77% Δ rating 5.5
Florida International is the model's favorite at 69%. Middle Tennessee has a 31% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.0 rating points baked in for Florida International — venue-specific learned value (n=5 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Middle Tennessee offense
43 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Florida International offense
41 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Tuesday, October 20, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Pitbull Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No