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2026 Week 7 · Conference game

Kennesaw State at Missouri State

Wednesday, October 14, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC

Plaster Sports Complex

Kennesaw State
Conference USA
Record
1-3
Rating
-12.5
National rank
113
Proj. wins
4.3
Playoff prob.
0%
Missouri State
Conference USA
Record
1-3
Rating
-17.4
National rank
124
Proj. wins
4.4
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Kennesaw State
55%
Missouri State
45%
Missouri State 90% CI: 36% – 55% Δ rating 4.9

Kennesaw State is the model's favorite at 55%. Missouri State has a 45% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.4 rating points baked in for Missouri State — venue-specific learned value (n=5 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Kennesaw State offense
39 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Missouri State offense
38 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Wednesday, October 14, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
Venue
Plaster Sports Complex
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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