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2026 Week 7 · Conference game

Florida International at Jacksonville State

Wednesday, October 14, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

AmFirst Stadium

Florida International
Conference USA
Record
2-2
Rating
-12.3
National rank
112
Proj. wins
6.2
Playoff prob.
0%
Jacksonville State
Conference USA
Record
3-2
Rating
-3.2
National rank
83
Proj. wins
7.4
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Florida International
16%
Jacksonville State
84%
Jacksonville State 90% CI: 79% – 89% Δ rating 9.1

Jacksonville State is the model's favorite at 84%. Florida International has a 16% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.4 rating points baked in for Jacksonville State — venue-specific learned value (n=17 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Florida International offense
40 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Jacksonville State offense
41 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Wednesday, October 14, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Venue
AmFirst Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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