2026 Week 6 · Conference game
Missouri State at Western Kentucky
Thursday, October 8, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
Missouri State
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -10.7
- National rank
- 108
- Proj. wins
- 5.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Western Kentucky
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 1.6
- National rank
- 69
- Proj. wins
- 7.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Missouri State
18%
Western Kentucky
82%
Western Kentucky 90% CI: 76% – 87% Δ rating 12.3
Western Kentucky is the model's favorite at 82%. Missouri State has a 18% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.0 rating points baked in for Western Kentucky — venue-specific night-game value (n=49 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Missouri State offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Western Kentucky offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Thursday, October 8, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No