2026 Week 6 · Conference game
Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State
Wednesday, October 7, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
Fifth Third Stadium
Jacksonville State
Conference USA
- Record
- 3-2
- Rating
- -3.2
- National rank
- 83
- Proj. wins
- 7.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Kennesaw State
Conference USA
- Record
- 1-3
- Rating
- -12.5
- National rank
- 113
- Proj. wins
- 4.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Jacksonville State
61%
Kennesaw State
39%
Kennesaw State 90% CI: 30% – 48% Δ rating 9.3
Jacksonville State is the model's favorite at 61%. Kennesaw State has a 39% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.6 rating points baked in for Kennesaw State — venue-specific learned value (n=10 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Jacksonville State offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Kennesaw State offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Clear
Temperature
65°F
Precipitation
12%
Wind
3 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Wednesday, October 7, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Fifth Third Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No