2026 Week 5 · Conference game
Liberty at Delaware
Friday, October 2, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
Delaware Stadium
Liberty
Conference USA
- Record
- 3-1
- Rating
- -3.0
- National rank
- 82
- Proj. wins
- 8.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Delaware
Conference USA
- Record
- 2-2
- Rating
- -8.1
- National rank
- 103
- Proj. wins
- 6.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Liberty
47%
Delaware
53%
Delaware 90% CI: 44% – 62% Δ rating 5.1
Delaware is the model's favorite at 53%. Liberty has a 47% path. Home-field adjustment of +6.1 rating points baked in for Delaware — venue-specific learned value (n=5 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Liberty offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Delaware offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Light drizzle
Temperature
62°F
Precipitation
12%
Wind
10 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 2, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Delaware Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No