2026 Week 5 · Conference game
Liberty at Delaware
Friday, October 2, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Delaware Stadium
Liberty
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -9.0
- National rank
- 102
- Proj. wins
- 1.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Delaware
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -10.9
- National rank
- 109
- Proj. wins
- 0.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Liberty
37%
Delaware
63%
Delaware 90% CI: 54% – 71% Δ rating 1.9
Delaware is the model's favorite at 63%. Liberty has a 37% path. Home-field adjustment of +6.1 rating points baked in for Delaware — venue-specific learned value (n=5 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Liberty offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Delaware offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 2, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Delaware Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No