2026 Week 4 FINAL · Conference game
Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State
Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
AmFirst Stadium
13
Middle Tennessee
Final
23
Jacksonville State
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middle Tennessee | 0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 13 |
| Jacksonville State | 3 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 23 |
GIE pre-game call: Jacksonville State at 93%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Middle Tennessee
Conference USA
- Record
- 2-2
- Rating
- -18.9
- National rank
- 125
- Proj. wins
- 6.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Jacksonville State
Conference USA
- Record
- 3-2
- Rating
- -3.2
- National rank
- 83
- Proj. wins
- 7.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Middle Tennessee
7%
Jacksonville State
93%
Jacksonville State 90% CI: 89% – 95% Δ rating 15.7
Jacksonville State is the model's favorite at 93%. Middle Tennessee has a 7% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.4 rating points baked in for Jacksonville State — venue-specific learned value (n=17 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- AmFirst Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No