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2026 Week 2

Middle Tennessee at Marshall

Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC

Joan C. Edwards Stadium

Middle Tennessee
Conference USA
Record
0-0
Rating
-16.0
National rank
127
Proj. wins
4.4
Playoff prob.
0%
Marshall
Sun Belt
Record
0-0
Rating
-4.5
National rank
86
Proj. wins
6.6
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Middle Tennessee
22%
Marshall
78%
Marshall 90% CI: 71% – 84% Δ rating 11.5

Marshall is the model's favorite at 78%. Middle Tennessee has a 22% path. Home-field adjustment of +-1.5 rating points baked in for Marshall — venue-specific night-game value (n=53 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Middle Tennessee offense
48 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Marshall offense
39 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
Venue
Joan C. Edwards Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No

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