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2026 Week 2 FINAL

Middle Tennessee at Marshall

Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC

Joan C. Edwards Stadium

26
Middle Tennessee
Final
28
Marshall
Team 1234 T
Middle Tennessee 7676 26
Marshall 77014 28

GIE pre-game call: Marshall at 69%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Middle Tennessee
Conference USA
Record
2-2
Rating
-18.9
National rank
125
Proj. wins
6.2
Playoff prob.
0%
Marshall
Sun Belt
Record
3-1
Rating
-11.0
National rank
110
Proj. wins
7.5
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Middle Tennessee
31%
Marshall
69%
Marshall 90% CI: 61% – 76% Δ rating 7.9

Marshall is the model's favorite at 69%. Middle Tennessee has a 31% path. Home-field adjustment of +-1.5 rating points baked in for Marshall — venue-specific night-game value (n=53 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
Venue
Joan C. Edwards Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No
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