2026 Week 10 · Conference game
Liberty at New Mexico State
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Aggie Memorial Stadium
Liberty
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -9.0
- National rank
- 102
- Proj. wins
- 1.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
New Mexico State
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -15.5
- National rank
- 123
- Proj. wins
- 0.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Liberty
62%
New Mexico State
38%
New Mexico State 90% CI: 29% – 47% Δ rating 6.5
Liberty is the model's favorite at 62%. New Mexico State has a 38% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for New Mexico State — venue-specific learned value (n=41 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Liberty offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
New Mexico State offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Aggie Memorial Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No