2026 Week 11 · Conference game
Kennesaw State at Sam Houston
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC
Elliott T. Bowers Stadium
Kennesaw State
Conference USA
- Record
- 1-3
- Rating
- -12.5
- National rank
- 113
- Proj. wins
- 4.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Sam Houston
Conference USA
- Record
- 1-3
- Rating
- -16.3
- National rank
- 121
- Proj. wins
- 4.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Kennesaw State
56%
Sam Houston
44%
Sam Houston 90% CI: 35% – 54% Δ rating 3.8
Kennesaw State is the model's favorite at 56%. Sam Houston has a 44% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.0 rating points baked in for Sam Houston — venue-specific learned value (n=9 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Kennesaw State offense
43 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Sam Houston offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Elliott T. Bowers Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No