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2026 Week 11 · Conference game

Kennesaw State at Sam Houston

Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC

Elliott T. Bowers Stadium

Kennesaw State
Conference USA
Record
0-0
Rating
-5.4
National rank
89
Proj. wins
0.6
Playoff prob.
0%
Sam Houston
Conference USA
Record
0-0
Rating
-27.8
National rank
135
Proj. wins
0.3
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Kennesaw State
93%
Sam Houston
7%
Sam Houston 90% CI: 5% – 10% Δ rating 22.4

Kennesaw State is the model's favorite at 93%. Sam Houston has a 7% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.0 rating points baked in for Sam Houston — venue-specific learned value (n=9 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Kennesaw State offense
43 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Sam Houston offense
38 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Venue
Elliott T. Bowers Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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