2026 Week 6 · Conference game
Sam Houston at Liberty
Thursday, October 8, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Williams Stadium (VA)
Sam Houston
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -27.8
- National rank
- 135
- Proj. wins
- 0.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Liberty
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -9.0
- National rank
- 102
- Proj. wins
- 1.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Sam Houston
8%
Liberty
92%
Liberty 90% CI: 89% – 94% Δ rating 18.8
Liberty is the model's favorite at 92%. Sam Houston has a 8% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.9 rating points baked in for Liberty — venue-specific learned value (n=40 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Sam Houston offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Liberty offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Thursday, October 8, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Williams Stadium (VA)
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No