2026 Week 1 FINAL
Sam Houston at Troy
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
21
Sam Houston
Final
24
Troy
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Houston | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 21 |
| Troy | 7 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 24 |
GIE pre-game call: Troy at 72%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Sam Houston
Conference USA
- Record
- 1-3
- Rating
- -16.3
- National rank
- 121
- Proj. wins
- 4.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Troy
Sun Belt
- Record
- 2-2
- Rating
- -6.2
- National rank
- 93
- Proj. wins
- 6.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Sam Houston
28%
Troy
72%
Troy 90% CI: 64% – 79% Δ rating 10.1
Troy is the model's favorite at 72%. Sam Houston has a 28% path. Home-field adjustment of +-2.4 rating points baked in for Troy — venue-specific night-game value (n=50 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No