2026 Week 11 · Conference game
Jacksonville State at Western Kentucky
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 8:30 PM UTC
Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
Jacksonville State
Conference USA
- Record
- 3-2
- Rating
- -3.2
- National rank
- 83
- Proj. wins
- 7.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Western Kentucky
Conference USA
- Record
- 1-3
- Rating
- -16.5
- National rank
- 122
- Proj. wins
- 4.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Jacksonville State
83%
Western Kentucky
17%
Western Kentucky 90% CI: 12% – 23% Δ rating 13.3
Jacksonville State is the model's favorite at 83%. Western Kentucky has a 17% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.5 rating points baked in for Western Kentucky — venue-specific learned value (n=49 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Jacksonville State offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Western Kentucky offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 8:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No