4thand4cast

Search the site.

Try , , or .

Powered by Pagefind

2026 Week 11 · Conference game

Jacksonville State at Western Kentucky

Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC

Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium

Jacksonville State
Conference USA
Record
0-0
Rating
-6.7
National rank
92
Proj. wins
1.1
Playoff prob.
0%
Western Kentucky
Conference USA
Record
0-0
Rating
1.6
National rank
69
Proj. wins
0.8
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Jacksonville State
25%
Western Kentucky
75%
Western Kentucky 90% CI: 67% – 81% Δ rating 8.3

Western Kentucky is the model's favorite at 75%. Jacksonville State has a 25% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.5 rating points baked in for Western Kentucky — venue-specific learned value (n=49 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Jacksonville State offense
35 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Western Kentucky offense
42 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Venue
Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

← Home