2026 Week 11 · Conference game
Louisiana at UL Monroe
Thursday, November 12, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Malone Stadium
Louisiana
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -10.1
- National rank
- 105
- Proj. wins
- 1.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
UL Monroe
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -21.6
- National rank
- 131
- Proj. wins
- 1.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Louisiana
68%
UL Monroe
32%
UL Monroe 90% CI: 25% – 41% Δ rating 11.5
Louisiana is the model's favorite at 68%. UL Monroe has a 32% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.6 rating points baked in for UL Monroe — venue-specific learned value (n=45 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Louisiana offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
UL Monroe offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Thursday, November 12, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Malone Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No