2026 Week 7 · Conference game
Troy at Louisiana
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Cajun Field
Troy
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -4.8
- National rank
- 87
- Proj. wins
- 1.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Louisiana
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -10.1
- National rank
- 105
- Proj. wins
- 1.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Troy
61%
Louisiana
39%
Louisiana 90% CI: 30% – 48% Δ rating 5.3
Troy is the model's favorite at 61%. Louisiana has a 39% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.6 rating points baked in for Louisiana — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Troy offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Louisiana offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Cajun Field
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No