2026 Week 7 · Conference game
Troy at Louisiana
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Cajun Field
Troy
Sun Belt
- Record
- 2-2
- Rating
- -6.2
- National rank
- 93
- Proj. wins
- 6.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Louisiana
Sun Belt
- Record
- 3-1
- Rating
- -7.2
- National rank
- 99
- Proj. wins
- 8.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Troy
48%
Louisiana
52%
Louisiana 90% CI: 43% – 61% Δ rating 1.0
Louisiana is the model's favorite at 52%. Troy has a 48% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.6 rating points baked in for Louisiana — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Troy offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Louisiana offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Cajun Field
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No