2026 Week 10 · Conference game
James Madison at Southern Miss
Friday, November 6, 2026 · 1:00 AM UTC
M. M. Roberts Stadium
James Madison
Sun Belt
- Record
- 4-0
- Rating
- 6.2
- National rank
- 50
- Proj. wins
- 10.2
- Playoff prob.
- 67%
Southern Miss
Sun Belt
- Record
- 1-3
- Rating
- -19.1
- National rank
- 127
- Proj. wins
- 4.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
James Madison
96%
Southern Miss
4%
Southern Miss 90% CI: 3% – 6% Δ rating 25.3
James Madison is the model's favorite at 96%. Southern Miss has a 4% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.1 rating points baked in for Southern Miss — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
James Madison offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Southern Miss offense
30 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, November 6, 2026 · 1:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- M. M. Roberts Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No