2026 Week 10 · Conference game
James Madison at Southern Miss
Thursday, November 5, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
M. M. Roberts Stadium
James Madison
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 12.3
- National rank
- 27
- Proj. wins
- 1.8
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Southern Miss
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -7.1
- National rank
- 94
- Proj. wins
- 1.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
James Madison
92%
Southern Miss
8%
Southern Miss 90% CI: 6% – 11% Δ rating 19.4
James Madison is the model's favorite at 92%. Southern Miss has a 8% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.1 rating points baked in for Southern Miss — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
James Madison offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Southern Miss offense
30 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Thursday, November 5, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- M. M. Roberts Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No